Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.185336 0.200390 0.216313 0.234447 0.254574 0.276281 0.301533
2026-01-04 0.161261 0.183117 0.207741 0.237719 0.273466 0.315030 0.367453
2026-01-11 0.144640 0.169986 0.199854 0.238024 0.286049 0.345210 0.424771
2026-01-18 0.130164 0.156967 0.189644 0.232995 0.289890 0.363309 0.467409
2026-01-25 0.118018 0.145286 0.179452 0.226186 0.289711 0.374972 0.501511
2026-02-01 0.109074 0.136710 0.172178 0.222032 0.291968 0.389267 0.539950
2026-02-08 0.101127 0.128717 0.164866 0.216893 0.291938 0.399750 0.573305
2026-02-15 0.094794 0.122359 0.159163 0.213306 0.293457 0.412153 0.610469
2026-02-22 0.091319 0.119586 0.158073 0.215996 0.304126 0.438943 0.673476
2026-03-01 0.086981 0.115305 0.154517 0.214700 0.308473 0.456070 0.722268
2026-03-08 0.082598 0.110683 0.150143 0.211775 0.309887 0.468382 0.763933
2026-03-15 0.078067 0.105592 0.144760 0.206880 0.307652 0.474247 0.794374
2026-03-22 0.076367 0.104592 0.145456 0.211623 0.321773 0.509792 0.886681
2026-03-29 0.074171 0.102754 0.144796 0.214192 0.332544 0.540783 0.975551
2026-04-05 0.071570 0.100158 0.142802 0.214412 0.339236 0.565027 1.054594
2026-04-12 0.068084 0.096042 0.138213 0.210004 0.337353 0.572939 1.099857
2026-04-19 0.064506 0.091621 0.132911 0.204039 0.332154 0.573869 1.129634
2026-04-26 0.061697 0.088261 0.129122 0.200397 0.330873 0.582297 1.177957
2026-05-03 0.058894 0.084792 0.124986 0.195888 0.327596 0.586319 1.216408
2026-05-10 0.056556 0.081957 0.121743 0.192739 0.326627 0.594941 1.267627
2026-05-17 0.055472 0.081064 0.121627 0.195101 0.336432 0.627251 1.385287
2026-05-24 0.053771 0.079107 0.119645 0.193963 0.339230 0.644677 1.466965
2026-05-31 0.051900 0.076800 0.116970 0.191394 0.338933 0.655162 1.531524